Taranto vs Salernitana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.1%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.5%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.9%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
27.6%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-59%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Taranto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 1950 |
TAR
2 - 2
BRE
39%
25%
36%
|
50 | 70 | 20 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1950 |
REG
4 - 1
TAR
77%
13%
10%
|
51 | 62 | 11 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 1950 |
LIV
2 - 0
TAR
69%
18%
14%
|
52 | 63 | 11 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 1950 |
TAR
3 - 0
USC
45%
23%
32%
|
50 | 61 | 11 | +2 |
| 02 Apr. 1950 |
PRO
2 - 3
TAR
44%
21%
34%
|
49 | 37 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Salernitana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 1950 |
SAL
0 - 0
VER
53%
22%
25%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1950 |
SPA
4 - 1
SAL
70%
17%
13%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 1950 |
SAL
1 - 1
NAP
41%
24%
35%
|
62 | 74 | 12 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 1950 |
MOD
1 - 0
SAL
66%
19%
15%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 1950 |
SAL
3 - 1
VIC
58%
21%
21%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | +1 |