Taranto vs Picerno analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.5%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.2%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.1%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.8%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
33.1%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Taranto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2017 |
POM
3 - 0
TAR
46%
25%
29%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2017 |
TAR
2 - 0
SSE
65%
21%
15%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
AUD
2 - 0
TAR
69%
19%
12%
|
36 | 45 | 9 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
TAR
2 - 3
SAR
66%
21%
14%
|
36 | 29 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2017 |
ASD
2 - 1
TAR
42%
23%
35%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Picerno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2017 |
PIC
1 - 1
FBC
43%
26%
31%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2017 |
PIC
0 - 1
NAR
43%
25%
32%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2017 |
NAR
0 - 1
PIC
42%
27%
31%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
FCF
2 - 3
PIC
32%
23%
45%
|
36 | 28 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
PIC
2 - 0
NFR
35%
26%
39%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | +2 |