Taranto vs Picerno analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.7%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.8%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.8%
2-0
14.6%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.9%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
18.5%
9.7%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+60%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Taranto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
FRA
2 - 1
TAR
38%
26%
36%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
TAR
2 - 0
BIS
50%
25%
25%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
FON
3 - 2
TAR
45%
24%
31%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | -1 |
| 06 Jan. 2016 |
TAR
2 - 0
SSM
63%
23%
15%
|
44 | 36 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2015 |
TAR
1 - 2
FRA
52%
26%
22%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Picerno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
PIC
0 - 0
REA
31%
22%
47%
|
27 | 37 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
RPO
0 - 2
PIC
76%
15%
10%
|
25 | 36 | 11 | +2 |
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
PIC
0 - 1
APR
57%
20%
23%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | -1 |
| 06 Jan. 2016 |
NAR
1 - 0
PIC
66%
19%
15%
|
27 | 37 | 10 | -1 |
| 20 Dec. 2015 |
TUR
1 - 0
PIC
72%
16%
12%
|
27 | 38 | 11 | 0 |