Coppa Italia Semi-finals
Global 3-2
Taranto vs Pescara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.2%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
9%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.3%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
24.9%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Taranto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 1977 |
TAR
2 - 0
SSS
55%
28%
17%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 1977 |
BRE
1 - 1
TAR
52%
29%
20%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 1977 |
TAR
1 - 0
BAR
59%
27%
14%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 1977 |
PAL
0 - 0
TAR
45%
32%
23%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 1977 |
PES
2 - 2
TAR
67%
19%
13%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Pescara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 1977 |
PES
1 - 2
ACM
26%
28%
46%
|
66 | 85 | 19 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 1977 |
USF
2 - 0
PES
57%
25%
18%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 1977 |
PES
2 - 2
TAR
67%
19%
13%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 1977 |
PES
2 - 2
VER
49%
27%
24%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 1977 |
LAZ
2 - 1
PES
71%
19%
10%
|
67 | 79 | 12 | 0 |