Taranto vs Perugia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.2%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.7%
1-0
16.5%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24.1%
32.6%
Draw
0-0
16.4%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
32.6%
28.2%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
13.2%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Taranto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 1975 |
COM
3 - 0
TAR
63%
25%
12%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1975 |
TAR
1 - 0
REG
51%
30%
20%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 1975 |
USA
3 - 0
TAR
50%
29%
21%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 1975 |
TAR
1 - 1
VER
31%
34%
35%
|
59 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1975 |
ATL
1 - 0
TAR
58%
28%
15%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Perugia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 1975 |
PRG
0 - 0
PAR
65%
23%
11%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1975 |
AVE
0 - 1
PRG
54%
25%
21%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1975 |
PAL
0 - 0
PRG
54%
28%
18%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1975 |
PRG
1 - 0
BRI
68%
22%
10%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 1975 |
PRG
1 - 0
BRE
64%
24%
12%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | 0 |