Taranto vs Parma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.1%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
2%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.1%
+2
7.7%
1-0
14.8%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
<0%
+1
20.9%
33.8%
Draw
0-0
18%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.2%
0
33.8%
35%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
16.1%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0%
-1
22.7%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.2%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Taranto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 1986 |
PES
3 - 0
TAR
70%
20%
9%
|
49 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 1986 |
TAR
1 - 1
MES
28%
32%
41%
|
49 | 62 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1986 |
USC
1 - 0
TAR
70%
21%
10%
|
49 | 65 | 16 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1986 |
TAR
1 - 1
PIS
31%
36%
34%
|
48 | 69 | 21 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 1986 |
VIC
1 - 0
TAR
65%
22%
13%
|
49 | 64 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
Parma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 1986 |
PAR
1 - 0
MES
42%
30%
28%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 1986 |
MOD
1 - 1
PAR
40%
31%
29%
|
61 | 50 | 11 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 1986 |
PAR
2 - 0
CAM
47%
32%
21%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 1986 |
BAR
0 - 0
PAR
58%
26%
17%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 1986 |
PAR
0 - 0
LAZ
44%
31%
24%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |