Taranto vs Parma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.7%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.7%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.5%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
25.7%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Taranto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 1960 |
TRI
0 - 0
TAR
72%
18%
10%
|
54 | 68 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1960 |
TAR
0 - 0
TOR
34%
30%
37%
|
53 | 74 | 21 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 1960 |
TAR
2 - 1
ACM
44%
28%
28%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 1960 |
MAN
2 - 0
TAR
71%
18%
12%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1960 |
VER
0 - 0
TAR
77%
15%
9%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Parma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 1960 |
TOR
2 - 0
PAR
70%
17%
13%
|
55 | 73 | 18 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1960 |
PAR
0 - 0
ASS
45%
27%
28%
|
55 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1960 |
NOV
1 - 1
PAR
56%
23%
22%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 1960 |
PAR
1 - 0
VNZ
41%
28%
31%
|
54 | 66 | 12 | +1 |
| 28 Feb. 1960 |
REG
3 - 1
PAR
66%
19%
15%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | -1 |