Taranto vs Parma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.1%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.9%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
23.5%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-64%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Taranto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 1956 |
ACM
0 - 1
TAR
63%
20%
17%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1956 |
TAR
1 - 0
ASS
53%
24%
23%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 1956 |
TAR
0 - 0
CAT
50%
25%
25%
|
57 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 1956 |
BRE
2 - 1
TAR
58%
23%
19%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 1956 |
TAR
1 - 1
COM
54%
25%
21%
|
57 | 68 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Parma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 1956 |
PAR
0 - 0
SAL
74%
16%
10%
|
61 | 51 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1956 |
PAR
0 - 1
PAL
55%
23%
22%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 1956 |
LIV
1 - 1
PAR
43%
25%
32%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 1956 |
PAR
1 - 0
CAT
46%
24%
30%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 1956 |
PAR
2 - 3
MES
63%
20%
17%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | -1 |