Taranto vs Novara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.8%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.1%
+3
7.1%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
18.9%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.9%
28.2%
Draw
0-0
13.9%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
28.2%
16.9%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
+25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Taranto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 1977 |
SPA
1 - 0
TAR
57%
27%
17%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 1977 |
TAR
1 - 0
COM
30%
32%
39%
|
58 | 70 | 12 | +1 |
| 27 Feb. 1977 |
SSS
2 - 1
TAR
45%
32%
23%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Feb. 1977 |
TAR
3 - 1
PAL
48%
31%
21%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | +1 |
| 13 Feb. 1977 |
ATL
2 - 0
TAR
61%
27%
13%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Novara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 1977 |
NOV
0 - 0
ASC
35%
31%
34%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 1977 |
AVE
2 - 1
NOV
58%
26%
16%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 1977 |
NOV
0 - 0
CAG
29%
30%
42%
|
55 | 68 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 1977 |
MOD
2 - 1
NOV
50%
29%
21%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 1977 |
NOV
0 - 0
ASS
40%
30%
30%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | 0 |