Taranto vs Novara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.5%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.1%
+4
1%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.9%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.6%
1-0
16.7%
2-1
7%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24.7%
31.9%
Draw
0-0
15.7%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
31.9%
26.6%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
12.4%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18.3%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-60%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Taranto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jun. 1973 |
REG
1 - 0
TAR
39%
33%
28%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 May. 1973 |
CES
2 - 0
TAR
61%
25%
13%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 May. 1973 |
TAR
1 - 0
VAR
36%
34%
30%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | +1 |
| 13 May. 1973 |
BRI
1 - 1
TAR
53%
25%
22%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 May. 1973 |
TAR
2 - 0
BAR
44%
33%
23%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | +2 |
Matches
Novara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jun. 1973 |
NOV
1 - 1
USF
51%
28%
21%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 May. 1973 |
NOV
1 - 3
ASC
51%
25%
25%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 May. 1973 |
COM
0 - 1
NOV
56%
26%
18%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 May. 1973 |
NOV
5 - 3
ASS
60%
25%
15%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 May. 1973 |
REG
1 - 0
NOV
57%
26%
17%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | -1 |