Taranto vs Modena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.9%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
6.3%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
15.6%
1-0
18.3%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.4%
29.1%
Draw
0-0
14.1%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
29.1%
19%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
4%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Taranto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jan. 1976 |
TAR
2 - 0
VAR
34%
32%
35%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 1975 |
PES
1 - 0
TAR
55%
26%
19%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 1975 |
BRI
1 - 0
TAR
49%
29%
23%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 Dec. 1975 |
TAR
1 - 1
GEN
38%
33%
30%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 1975 |
TAR
1 - 0
CAT
53%
30%
17%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jan. 1976 |
MOD
1 - 2
BRE
48%
31%
21%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 1975 |
ATL
1 - 1
MOD
59%
26%
15%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 1975 |
MOD
0 - 0
REG
45%
30%
25%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 1975 |
FCC
1 - 1
MOD
64%
24%
12%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 1975 |
MOD
1 - 0
AVE
44%
29%
27%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | +1 |