Taranto vs Modena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.8%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
5%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
6.1%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
15.5%
1-0
19.4%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.8%
29.9%
Draw
0-0
15.5%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.2%
0
29.9%
18.2%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Taranto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 1972 |
BAR
2 - 0
TAR
65%
23%
12%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1972 |
TAR
0 - 0
CES
43%
34%
23%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1972 |
TER
2 - 0
TAR
58%
27%
15%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1972 |
TAR
0 - 0
COM
39%
32%
29%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 1972 |
TAR
2 - 0
SOR
61%
25%
15%
|
60 | 50 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 1972 |
CAT
3 - 0
MOD
60%
27%
13%
|
54 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1972 |
MOD
1 - 0
SOR
60%
23%
18%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1972 |
REG
3 - 0
MOD
65%
24%
11%
|
54 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1972 |
MOD
2 - 2
ARZ
42%
32%
27%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 1972 |
ASS
2 - 0
MOD
53%
29%
18%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | -1 |