Taranto vs Modena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.6%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
8%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.1%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
25%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
28.3%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Taranto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 1950 |
USA
2 - 1
TAR
71%
16%
13%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 May. 1950 |
TAR
6 - 3
SAL
49%
23%
28%
|
50 | 61 | 11 | +2 |
| 30 Apr. 1950 |
TAR
2 - 2
BRE
39%
25%
36%
|
50 | 70 | 20 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1950 |
REG
4 - 1
TAR
77%
13%
10%
|
51 | 62 | 11 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 1950 |
LIV
2 - 0
TAR
69%
18%
14%
|
51 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 1950 |
CAT
3 - 0
MOD
38%
26%
37%
|
73 | 57 | 16 | 0 |
| 07 May. 1950 |
MOD
3 - 2
PIS
72%
16%
12%
|
73 | 57 | 16 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1950 |
USC
1 - 1
MOD
43%
27%
30%
|
73 | 59 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1950 |
MOD
5 - 0
FAN
71%
17%
12%
|
73 | 54 | 19 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1950 |
UDI
1 - 0
MOD
66%
19%
15%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |