Taranto vs Milan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.9%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.1%
+2
4.7%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15%
29.2%
Draw
0-0
13.6%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
29.2%
49.9%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
17.4%
1-2
8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26.6%
0-2
11.1%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
14.9%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Taranto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 1980 |
SPA
1 - 2
TAR
67%
22%
11%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 1980 |
TAR
1 - 0
ASS
51%
31%
19%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Nov. 1980 |
CAT
1 - 0
TAR
45%
35%
21%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 1980 |
TAR
1 - 2
CES
43%
32%
26%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 1980 |
GEN
3 - 1
TAR
63%
25%
13%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 1980 |
VIC
1 - 1
ACM
29%
29%
42%
|
81 | 59 | 22 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 1980 |
ACM
1 - 1
USF
72%
19%
9%
|
81 | 57 | 24 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 1980 |
ACM
2 - 1
SPA
72%
20%
8%
|
81 | 59 | 22 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 1980 |
ATL
1 - 3
ACM
19%
29%
52%
|
81 | 60 | 21 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 1980 |
ACM
0 - 0
PAL
71%
20%
10%
|
81 | 58 | 23 | 0 |