Taranto vs ACR Messina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.1%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.1%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
29.2%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Taranto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
AKR
1 - 1
TAR
64%
20%
16%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
TAR
0 - 2
FON
50%
25%
24%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | -2 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
FCC
3 - 1
TAR
35%
27%
38%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
TAR
0 - 0
CAT
23%
27%
49%
|
46 | 60 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
USF
2 - 0
TAR
77%
16%
7%
|
46 | 63 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
MES
2 - 1
CAS
33%
26%
41%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2016 |
MES
2 - 0
USV
62%
23%
16%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
MON
2 - 1
MES
60%
23%
17%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
CAT
3 - 1
MES
76%
16%
8%
|
45 | 59 | 14 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
MES
0 - 2
PAG
59%
23%
18%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | -1 |