Taranto vs ACR Messina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.6%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.4%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
10%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
28.7%
Draw
0-0
10.5%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.7%
35.7%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
10%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-59%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Taranto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2002 |
TAR
0 - 0
TER
59%
23%
17%
|
59 | 46 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2002 |
PAL
4 - 0
TAR
48%
26%
26%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 2002 |
TAR
0 - 3
REG
23%
27%
50%
|
61 | 76 | 15 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2002 |
TAR
3 - 0
LOD
65%
22%
13%
|
61 | 40 | 21 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2002 |
SOR
1 - 1
TAR
21%
26%
53%
|
61 | 39 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2002 |
REG
0 - 0
MES
56%
26%
18%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2002 |
MES
1 - 1
PAL
49%
26%
26%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | -1 |
| 02 Jun. 2002 |
CRO
1 - 2
MES
44%
26%
30%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | +1 |
| 26 May. 2002 |
MES
2 - 0
MOD
33%
30%
37%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | +1 |
| 19 May. 2002 |
BAR
3 - 1
MES
56%
25%
19%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | -1 |