Taranto vs ACR Messina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.4%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.7%
2-0
8%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
11%
1-0
14.7%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.4%
30.7%
Draw
0-0
13.5%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
30.7%
30%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-64%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Taranto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 1992 |
BRE
1 - 1
TAR
58%
26%
17%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 1992 |
TAR
0 - 0
LEC
35%
31%
34%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 1992 |
ANC
0 - 0
TAR
60%
24%
16%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 1992 |
TAR
1 - 1
COS
36%
30%
34%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 1992 |
PAD
1 - 1
TAR
58%
25%
18%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 1992 |
LEC
0 - 2
MES
56%
26%
19%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 1992 |
MES
1 - 0
PAD
47%
29%
24%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 1992 |
BRE
1 - 0
MES
55%
26%
19%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 1992 |
MES
2 - 0
UDI
38%
30%
32%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 1992 |
PES
1 - 0
MES
57%
25%
19%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | -1 |