Taranto vs ACR Messina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.1%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.3%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.6%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
28.5%
Draw
0-0
10.5%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.5%
31.4%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.5%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-64%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Taranto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 1991 |
USF
1 - 0
TAR
68%
20%
12%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 May. 1991 |
TAR
2 - 2
MOD
43%
29%
28%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 May. 1991 |
TRI
1 - 1
TAR
49%
27%
24%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1991 |
TAR
1 - 0
BRE
46%
31%
24%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 1991 |
SAL
0 - 0
TAR
50%
27%
24%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 1991 |
MES
3 - 0
SSB
47%
29%
25%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 May. 1991 |
ASL
0 - 0
MES
48%
27%
25%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 May. 1991 |
ASC
5 - 1
MES
62%
23%
15%
|
65 | 75 | 10 | -1 |
| 05 May. 1991 |
MES
2 - 2
COS
40%
29%
31%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1991 |
PAD
5 - 1
MES
42%
29%
29%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | -1 |