Taranto vs ACR Messina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.1%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
21.5%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-64%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Taranto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 1954 |
MOD
2 - 0
TAR
59%
23%
19%
|
52 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1954 |
ACM
1 - 0
TAR
66%
20%
15%
|
53 | 65 | 12 | -1 |
| 25 Jun. 1950 |
SIR
6 - 1
TAR
67%
17%
16%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Jun. 1950 |
TAR
1 - 0
SPE
50%
22%
28%
|
53 | 63 | 10 | +1 |
| 11 Jun. 1950 |
SPA
8 - 2
TAR
76%
14%
10%
|
54 | 66 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 1954 |
MES
1 - 0
ASS
49%
27%
25%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1954 |
MES
2 - 1
VIC
51%
27%
23%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 May. 1954 |
MES
2 - 0
VER
47%
27%
26%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 May. 1954 |
ACM
3 - 0
MES
63%
22%
16%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 May. 1954 |
COM
1 - 0
MES
66%
21%
14%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | -1 |