Taranto vs Matera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.9%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.9%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
19%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Taranto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 1980 |
PIS
2 - 1
TAR
63%
25%
12%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 1980 |
TAR
1 - 0
COM
40%
34%
25%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | +1 |
| 20 Jan. 1980 |
BRE
1 - 0
TAR
66%
22%
11%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Jan. 1980 |
ATL
0 - 0
TAR
67%
23%
10%
|
55 | 65 | 10 | +1 |
| 06 Jan. 1980 |
TAR
0 - 2
TER
44%
31%
25%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Matera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 1980 |
MAT
0 - 2
GEN
38%
30%
32%
|
49 | 61 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 1980 |
ATL
0 - 1
MAT
64%
23%
13%
|
48 | 65 | 17 | +1 |
| 20 Jan. 1980 |
MAT
1 - 0
TER
36%
25%
39%
|
47 | 58 | 11 | +1 |
| 13 Jan. 1980 |
VER
0 - 0
MAT
65%
22%
12%
|
47 | 64 | 17 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 1980 |
MAT
0 - 0
PIS
35%
30%
35%
|
46 | 62 | 16 | +1 |