Taranto vs Lucchese Libertas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.8%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
3%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4%
2-0
8%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.3%
1-0
14%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.1%
29.8%
Draw
0-0
12.2%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
29.8%
30.4%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Taranto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 1993 |
SPA
1 - 2
TAR
47%
27%
26%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1993 |
TAR
3 - 2
BOL
40%
30%
30%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | +1 |
| 25 Apr. 1993 |
LEC
1 - 1
TAR
63%
24%
13%
|
60 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1993 |
TAR
0 - 1
PIA
38%
33%
30%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1993 |
USC
4 - 2
TAR
68%
21%
12%
|
61 | 74 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Lucchese Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 1993 |
ASL
1 - 1
PIS
43%
30%
28%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1993 |
ASC
1 - 1
ASL
64%
21%
15%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1993 |
MOD
2 - 2
ASL
50%
27%
23%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1993 |
ASL
3 - 1
SPA
55%
28%
18%
|
67 | 55 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1993 |
VNZ
1 - 1
ASL
59%
24%
17%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | +1 |