Taranto vs Lecce analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.1%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5.8%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
14.9%
1-0
18.2%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.1%
29.7%
Draw
0-0
14.6%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
29.7%
20.1%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Taranto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 1981 |
PIS
0 - 0
TAR
49%
31%
20%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 1981 |
PES
2 - 1
TAR
58%
27%
16%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 1980 |
TAR
1 - 0
VER
54%
30%
17%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 1980 |
PAL
2 - 1
TAR
54%
29%
17%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 1980 |
TAR
3 - 0
ACM
21%
29%
50%
|
56 | 81 | 25 | +2 |
Matches
Lecce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 1981 |
LEC
2 - 0
PES
48%
29%
23%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 1981 |
LEC
2 - 1
CAT
58%
27%
15%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 1980 |
ASS
0 - 0
LEC
61%
25%
14%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 1980 |
LEC
0 - 0
USF
48%
29%
24%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 1980 |
VER
3 - 1
LEC
53%
30%
17%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | -1 |