Taranto vs L'Aquila analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.1%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.9%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.5%
2-0
14.3%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.6%
1-0
15.8%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26.6%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
21.7%
12.2%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Taranto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 2003 |
PAT
1 - 2
TAR
28%
27%
45%
|
50 | 38 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2003 |
FCC
0 - 0
TAR
56%
25%
19%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | +1 |
| 16 Nov. 2003 |
TAR
1 - 2
FER
57%
25%
18%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 2003 |
USF
2 - 1
TAR
68%
21%
12%
|
51 | 64 | 13 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 2003 |
TAR
1 - 0
VIT
41%
28%
31%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
L'Aquila
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 2003 |
LAQ
1 - 1
SSS
27%
29%
44%
|
35 | 58 | 23 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2003 |
BEN
2 - 1
LAQ
62%
25%
14%
|
36 | 49 | 13 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 2003 |
LAQ
1 - 2
TER
23%
24%
53%
|
36 | 51 | 15 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2003 |
FCC
2 - 1
LAQ
66%
22%
13%
|
36 | 56 | 20 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2003 |
LAQ
1 - 2
USF
22%
26%
53%
|
36 | 64 | 28 | 0 |