Taranto vs L'Aquila analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.6%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.8%
1-0
14.6%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
25.7%
19.8%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-67%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Taranto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2002 |
CRO
1 - 0
TAR
57%
23%
21%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2002 |
TAR
1 - 1
PAT
60%
23%
17%
|
57 | 41 | 16 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2002 |
VIR
2 - 1
TAR
43%
26%
31%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2002 |
SSS
2 - 0
TAR
42%
28%
30%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2002 |
TAR
4 - 0
SOR
61%
23%
16%
|
58 | 42 | 16 | +1 |
Matches
L'Aquila
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2002 |
LAQ
1 - 1
BEN
58%
23%
19%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2002 |
TER
1 - 0
LAQ
54%
24%
22%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2002 |
LAQ
2 - 0
SAS
45%
25%
30%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | +2 |
| 09 Oct. 2002 |
LAQ
2 - 1
PAT
62%
21%
17%
|
48 | 41 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2002 |
PES
1 - 0
LAQ
68%
20%
13%
|
49 | 57 | 8 | -1 |