Taranto vs L'Aquila analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.4%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.7%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
11%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
15.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.4%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
22.2%
13.4%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Taranto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2001 |
SAS
2 - 2
TAR
28%
26%
47%
|
62 | 50 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2001 |
TAR
2 - 0
FER
67%
21%
13%
|
61 | 48 | 13 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2001 |
CHI
2 - 1
TAR
22%
25%
53%
|
62 | 35 | 27 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2001 |
TAR
2 - 1
CAS
58%
25%
17%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 2001 |
VIR
3 - 1
TAR
28%
26%
46%
|
63 | 51 | 12 | -2 |
Matches
L'Aquila
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2001 |
LAQ
1 - 3
ASC
29%
26%
46%
|
43 | 59 | 16 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2001 |
VIS
1 - 1
LAQ
53%
24%
23%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2001 |
LAQ
1 - 2
GIU
38%
26%
36%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2001 |
PES
4 - 0
LAQ
72%
18%
10%
|
45 | 58 | 13 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2001 |
LAQ
0 - 3
SOR
60%
21%
19%
|
46 | 39 | 7 | -1 |