Taranto vs Crotone analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.7%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.5%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.1%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.8%
28%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
28%
36.3%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Taranto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2004 |
ACI
3 - 0
TAR
69%
21%
11%
|
49 | 62 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2004 |
TAR
0 - 0
CHI
56%
24%
20%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Jan. 2004 |
TER
2 - 1
TAR
60%
22%
18%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2004 |
TAR
4 - 2
VIS
54%
27%
20%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2003 |
VIR
1 - 0
TAR
51%
26%
23%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Crotone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2004 |
CRO
2 - 1
PAT
77%
15%
8%
|
54 | 37 | 17 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2004 |
SOR
2 - 1
CRO
22%
27%
51%
|
55 | 43 | 12 | -1 |
| 11 Jan. 2004 |
CRO
2 - 1
LAQ
77%
16%
7%
|
55 | 36 | 19 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2004 |
SSS
2 - 3
CRO
50%
27%
24%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | +1 |
| 21 Dec. 2003 |
CRO
1 - 0
USF
33%
26%
41%
|
53 | 62 | 9 | +1 |