Taranto vs Catanzaro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.7%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.5%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
<0%
+3
2.5%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.6%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
21%
31.5%
Draw
0-0
14.5%
1-1
13.5%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
31.5%
35.8%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
14.4%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Taranto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2004 |
FER
1 - 1
TAR
48%
27%
25%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2004 |
TAR
1 - 3
USF
26%
28%
46%
|
43 | 58 | 15 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 2004 |
VIT
1 - 0
TAR
59%
24%
17%
|
43 | 52 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2004 |
TAR
0 - 2
SOR
45%
26%
29%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | -2 |
| 14 Mar. 2004 |
GIU
2 - 0
TAR
46%
28%
27%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Catanzaro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2004 |
FCC
2 - 0
SSS
44%
28%
29%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2004 |
LAQ
0 - 1
FCC
33%
31%
37%
|
56 | 38 | 18 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2004 |
FCC
2 - 0
PAT
64%
22%
14%
|
56 | 38 | 18 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2004 |
FCC
2 - 1
GIU
58%
25%
17%
|
56 | 46 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2004 |
FER
0 - 0
FCC
34%
31%
35%
|
56 | 41 | 15 | 0 |