Taranto vs Catanzaro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.6%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5.1%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
13.4%
1-0
15.3%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25%
29.2%
Draw
0-0
12.3%
1-1
13%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
29.2%
25.2%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Taranto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 1987 |
BRE
0 - 0
TAR
56%
27%
17%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1987 |
TAR
1 - 2
GEN
45%
30%
25%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 1987 |
TAR
1 - 1
LEC
40%
32%
29%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1987 |
PIA
1 - 1
TAR
61%
23%
16%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 1987 |
TAR
0 - 0
ATL
38%
32%
29%
|
57 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Catanzaro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 1987 |
BAR
1 - 2
FCC
55%
27%
18%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1987 |
FCC
3 - 1
PAR
43%
30%
27%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 1987 |
GEN
0 - 0
FCC
57%
26%
18%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1987 |
FCC
2 - 0
MES
48%
27%
24%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | +2 |
| 20 Sep. 1987 |
TRI
0 - 0
FCC
56%
26%
17%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | 0 |