Taranto vs Catanzaro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.9%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.4%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.6%
1-0
17%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.4%
31.2%
Draw
0-0
15.2%
1-1
13%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
31.2%
24.9%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
5%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Taranto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 1974 |
PRG
3 - 1
TAR
62%
25%
13%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1974 |
TAR
0 - 2
COM
46%
31%
24%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 1974 |
REG
0 - 0
TAR
51%
29%
21%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 1974 |
TAR
1 - 2
USA
54%
29%
18%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 1974 |
VER
4 - 0
TAR
70%
21%
10%
|
60 | 75 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Catanzaro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 1974 |
FCC
0 - 0
SSS
56%
27%
17%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1974 |
NOV
0 - 0
FCC
62%
24%
14%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 1974 |
PES
2 - 1
FCC
60%
24%
16%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 1974 |
FCC
1 - 0
ATL
49%
30%
21%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Nov. 1974 |
FCC
1 - 0
AVE
54%
26%
20%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |