Taranto vs Catanzaro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.2%
+2
10.4%
1-0
17.9%
2-1
6%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
<0%
+1
24.6%
34.3%
Draw
0-0
19.1%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.2%
0
34.3%
26.7%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
13.7%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.1%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Taranto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 1972 |
LAZ
1 - 2
TAR
78%
14%
8%
|
59 | 73 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1972 |
NAP
1 - 0
TAR
73%
18%
9%
|
59 | 81 | 22 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 1972 |
TAR
0 - 0
BRI
67%
21%
12%
|
59 | 45 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 1972 |
TAR
0 - 0
PAL
43%
27%
30%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 1972 |
TAR
0 - 0
LIV
54%
28%
18%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Catanzaro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 1972 |
FCC
2 - 1
GEN
58%
23%
19%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 1972 |
SAM
1 - 2
FCC
66%
20%
13%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | +1 |
| 30 Aug. 1972 |
FCC
1 - 0
LEC
62%
21%
16%
|
67 | 55 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 1972 |
INT
1 - 0
FCC
88%
9%
3%
|
67 | 87 | 20 | 0 |
| 28 May. 1972 |
ACM
1 - 0
FCC
80%
15%
5%
|
67 | 88 | 21 | 0 |