Taranto vs Catania analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.6%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
3%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.3%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
+1
22.8%
29.1%
Draw
0-0
11.3%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.1%
31.2%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Taranto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 1985 |
ATL
2 - 0
TAR
76%
17%
8%
|
48 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 1985 |
TAR
0 - 0
LAZ
27%
31%
43%
|
48 | 62 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 1985 |
MON
1 - 0
TAR
56%
21%
23%
|
49 | 43 | 6 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 1985 |
TAR
1 - 4
SAM
14%
27%
59%
|
49 | 82 | 33 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 1985 |
TAR
1 - 2
PAD
35%
29%
36%
|
50 | 59 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Catania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 1985 |
MON
2 - 1
CAT
45%
24%
30%
|
55 | 44 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 1985 |
CAT
1 - 1
ATL
41%
31%
28%
|
55 | 68 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 1985 |
CAT
0 - 0
SAM
20%
27%
53%
|
55 | 82 | 27 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 1985 |
LAZ
1 - 0
CAT
73%
17%
10%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 1985 |
CAG
0 - 0
CAT
53%
29%
19%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | 0 |