Taranto vs Catania analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.5%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5.1%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
13.6%
1-0
17%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26%
30.3%
Draw
0-0
14.2%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
30.3%
23.2%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.1%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Taranto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 1981 |
CES
1 - 0
TAR
67%
22%
11%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1981 |
TAR
1 - 0
GEN
40%
32%
28%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 1981 |
BAR
1 - 1
TAR
56%
28%
16%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 1981 |
VAR
0 - 0
TAR
58%
27%
14%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 1981 |
TAR
0 - 1
RIM
57%
29%
14%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Catania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 1981 |
CAT
2 - 0
VAR
56%
27%
17%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1981 |
ASS
3 - 3
CAT
57%
27%
16%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1981 |
CAT
2 - 0
SPA
40%
32%
28%
|
52 | 62 | 10 | +2 |
| 15 Mar. 1981 |
SAM
1 - 0
CAT
65%
23%
13%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 1981 |
CAT
1 - 1
ATL
54%
31%
15%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | 0 |