Taranto vs Catania analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
6.4%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
16%
1-0
19.4%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
28%
29.3%
Draw
0-0
15.1%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.2%
0
29.3%
17.6%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-60%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Taranto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 1977 |
MOD
1 - 1
TAR
51%
30%
19%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1977 |
TAR
1 - 0
RIM
50%
29%
21%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 Apr. 1977 |
VIC
0 - 0
TAR
70%
21%
9%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1977 |
TAR
0 - 2
PES
44%
32%
24%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 1977 |
LEC
1 - 0
TAR
67%
22%
11%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Catania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 1977 |
CAT
1 - 2
CAG
36%
33%
32%
|
57 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1977 |
CAT
0 - 0
SPA
43%
31%
26%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1977 |
ATL
3 - 1
CAT
62%
25%
12%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 1977 |
CAT
3 - 2
NOV
52%
31%
17%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1977 |
SSS
0 - 0
CAT
50%
31%
19%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | +1 |