Taranto vs Catania analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.1%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
11%
1-0
17%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24.6%
32.8%
Draw
0-0
16.9%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
32.8%
27.1%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
13%
1-2
5%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Taranto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 1972 |
COM
2 - 2
TAR
64%
24%
12%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 1972 |
TAR
1 - 1
MAN
39%
35%
26%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 1972 |
LEC
1 - 1
TAR
46%
31%
23%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1972 |
TAR
0 - 0
USF
39%
33%
29%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1972 |
REG
1 - 0
TAR
64%
24%
12%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Catania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 1972 |
CAT
1 - 0
NOV
50%
29%
21%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 1972 |
REG
0 - 0
CAT
56%
27%
17%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 1972 |
CAT
1 - 0
COM
43%
32%
25%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 1972 |
ASC
2 - 0
CAT
54%
25%
21%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 1972 |
CAT
1 - 1
BRE
46%
32%
22%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |