Taranto vs Catania analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.3%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.5%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
31%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.5%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Taranto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jun. 1957 |
BRE
2 - 0
TAR
60%
23%
17%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 1957 |
TAR
0 - 0
MOD
58%
24%
18%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 1957 |
ACM
0 - 1
TAR
65%
20%
16%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | +1 |
| 19 May. 1957 |
TAR
0 - 1
SSS
62%
20%
18%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | -1 |
| 05 May. 1957 |
TAR
2 - 1
USA
48%
25%
26%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Catania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jun. 1957 |
MOD
1 - 0
CAT
40%
26%
34%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 1957 |
PRO
2 - 3
CAT
46%
26%
28%
|
71 | 57 | 14 | +1 |
| 02 Jun. 1957 |
CAT
4 - 1
NOV
52%
24%
24%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | +1 |
| 19 May. 1957 |
ASS
2 - 1
CAT
42%
27%
32%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | -1 |
| 05 May. 1957 |
CAT
3 - 0
COM
56%
24%
20%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | +1 |