Taranto vs Casertana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.5%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.4%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.4%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
46.6%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.4%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.1%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Taranto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2017 |
SIR
0 - 0
TAR
60%
22%
18%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2016 |
TAR
0 - 3
NUO
30%
27%
44%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | -1 |
| 22 Dec. 2016 |
MAT
2 - 0
TAR
69%
19%
12%
|
45 | 60 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2016 |
TAR
0 - 0
JUS
25%
26%
48%
|
45 | 54 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2016 |
USV
0 - 2
TAR
29%
27%
45%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Casertana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2017 |
CAS
2 - 0
PAG
60%
23%
17%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2016 |
MON
2 - 3
CAS
38%
26%
36%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Dec. 2016 |
CAS
2 - 1
ASM
63%
22%
15%
|
49 | 43 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2016 |
CAT
1 - 0
CAS
69%
19%
11%
|
50 | 59 | 9 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 2016 |
CAS
0 - 0
FCC
63%
22%
16%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | 0 |