Taranto vs Cagliari analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.9%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
3%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.8%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.3%
1-0
14.7%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.5%
30.5%
Draw
0-0
13.3%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
30.5%
29.6%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Taranto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 1979 |
NAP
2 - 0
TAR
82%
12%
6%
|
60 | 80 | 20 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 1979 |
TAR
1 - 0
CES
44%
29%
27%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Aug. 1979 |
VIC
0 - 1
TAR
80%
13%
7%
|
58 | 73 | 15 | +1 |
| 24 Jun. 1979 |
PAL
1 - 1
TAR
59%
27%
15%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 1979 |
TAR
1 - 0
SPA
46%
32%
22%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Cagliari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 1979 |
CAG
1 - 2
CES
71%
18%
11%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 1979 |
CAG
2 - 1
VIC
50%
23%
27%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | +1 |
| 24 Jun. 1979 |
BRE
3 - 1
CAG
45%
30%
25%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | -1 |
| 17 Jun. 1979 |
CAG
3 - 0
SAM
68%
20%
12%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | +1 |
| 10 Jun. 1979 |
USF
0 - 2
CAG
51%
28%
21%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | 0 |