Taranto vs Spezia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.5%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
15%
1-0
7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.5%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
28.2%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Taranto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jun. 1950 |
SPA
8 - 2
TAR
76%
14%
10%
|
54 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 1950 |
UDI
2 - 1
TAR
81%
12%
8%
|
54 | 74 | 20 | 0 |
| 28 May. 1950 |
TAR
2 - 0
EMP
55%
21%
24%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | +1 |
| 21 May. 1950 |
TAR
1 - 0
MOD
47%
25%
28%
|
52 | 72 | 20 | +1 |
| 14 May. 1950 |
USA
2 - 1
TAR
71%
16%
13%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Spezia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jun. 1950 |
SPE
5 - 1
ACP
78%
13%
9%
|
62 | 49 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 1950 |
VER
2 - 1
SPE
63%
19%
18%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | -1 |
| 28 May. 1950 |
SPE
2 - 1
USC
67%
18%
16%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 May. 1950 |
PRO
0 - 1
SPE
27%
26%
46%
|
62 | 34 | 28 | 0 |
| 14 May. 1950 |
SPE
4 - 2
SPA
52%
21%
27%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | +1 |