Taranto vs Varese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.8%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.3%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
12%
1-0
14.7%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.9%
29.8%
Draw
0-0
12.6%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
29.8%
28.4%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Taranto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jun. 1977 |
ASC
0 - 0
TAR
56%
28%
16%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 1977 |
TAR
2 - 0
AVE
49%
30%
21%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 May. 1977 |
CAG
2 - 1
TAR
68%
22%
10%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | -1 |
| 22 May. 1977 |
TAR
0 - 0
BRE
52%
29%
19%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 May. 1977 |
TAR
3 - 1
TER
48%
30%
22%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Varese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jun. 1977 |
VAR
2 - 0
BRE
59%
26%
15%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 1977 |
CAG
3 - 2
VAR
61%
24%
16%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | -1 |
| 29 May. 1977 |
VAR
2 - 1
TER
59%
25%
16%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | +1 |
| 22 May. 1977 |
MOD
1 - 0
VAR
38%
30%
32%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | -1 |
| 15 May. 1977 |
VAR
2 - 1
ASS
50%
29%
22%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | 0 |