Taranto vs Reggiana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.9%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.5%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
19.8%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-55%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Taranto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 1987 |
CAT
1 - 0
TAR
50%
25%
25%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 1987 |
TAR
1 - 0
ASC
31%
26%
43%
|
59 | 73 | 14 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 1987 |
BRE
4 - 0
TAR
62%
22%
16%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 1987 |
TAR
2 - 2
INT
19%
26%
55%
|
59 | 86 | 27 | +1 |
| 27 Jun. 1987 |
TAR
1 - 0
LAZ
49%
26%
25%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Reggiana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 1987 |
REG
0 - 0
INT
16%
25%
59%
|
56 | 85 | 29 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 1987 |
REG
3 - 1
CAT
55%
25%
21%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 1987 |
ASC
2 - 1
REG
73%
17%
10%
|
56 | 73 | 17 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 1987 |
REG
1 - 0
BRE
37%
28%
35%
|
55 | 67 | 12 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 1986 |
USC
3 - 0
REG
71%
17%
12%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | -1 |