Taranto vs Reggiana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.5%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5.9%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
15.1%
1-0
18.4%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.2%
29.7%
Draw
0-0
14.7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
29.7%
19.8%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Taranto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 1975 |
USA
3 - 0
TAR
50%
29%
21%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1975 |
TAR
1 - 1
VER
31%
34%
35%
|
59 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1975 |
ATL
1 - 0
TAR
58%
28%
15%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 1975 |
TAR
1 - 0
USF
43%
32%
26%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 1975 |
GEN
0 - 0
TAR
65%
23%
12%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Reggiana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 1975 |
REG
3 - 0
SSS
45%
29%
26%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1975 |
BRE
2 - 0
REG
55%
28%
17%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 1975 |
REG
1 - 0
ARZ
54%
27%
19%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1975 |
COM
1 - 0
REG
65%
24%
11%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 1975 |
REG
1 - 0
NOV
42%
30%
29%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | +1 |