Taranto vs Cesena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.4%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.9%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
13%
1-0
14.8%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24.5%
29.1%
Draw
0-0
11.9%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
29.1%
26.5%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
+22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Taranto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 1979 |
VIC
0 - 1
TAR
80%
13%
7%
|
58 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 1979 |
PAL
1 - 1
TAR
59%
27%
15%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 1979 |
TAR
1 - 0
SPA
46%
32%
22%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Jun. 1979 |
SAM
0 - 0
TAR
64%
23%
13%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 1979 |
TAR
2 - 0
SSS
45%
32%
24%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Cesena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 1979 |
CES
1 - 3
NAP
30%
30%
40%
|
61 | 80 | 19 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 1979 |
BAR
1 - 1
CES
45%
30%
25%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 1979 |
CES
0 - 0
SSS
55%
28%
18%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 1979 |
LEC
2 - 0
CES
46%
30%
25%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 Jun. 1979 |
CES
3 - 1
BRE
49%
30%
21%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | +1 |