CD Tarancon vs CF Talavera B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.6%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.7%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.6%
17.8%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-30%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
39
1º
14º
11º
11
11º
16º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
62 | 62 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
50 | 50 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
48 | 48 |
3º
|
49.5% | |
|
5º
|
45 | 48 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
46 | 46 |
5º
|
50% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 44 |
6º
|
54.5% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
72% | |
|
8º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
72% | |
|
10º
|
40 | 40 |
9º
|
72% | |
|
9º
|
40 | 40 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
39 | 39 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
36 | 36 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
32 | 33 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
28 | 28 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
26 | 26 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
|
16º
|
11 | 11 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Tarancon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
VRU
2 - 1
TAR
56%
22%
22%
|
28 | 34 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
TAR
0 - 1
QRE
30%
25%
46%
|
29 | 37 | 8 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
ATT
2 - 1
TAR
13%
20%
67%
|
31 | 17 | 14 | -2 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
ILL
1 - 1
TAR
43%
25%
32%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
TAR
1 - 1
CDC
42%
26%
32%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
CF Talavera B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
TDR
0 - 0
ILL
18%
19%
63%
|
22 | 35 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
CDC
1 - 0
TDR
70%
19%
12%
|
22 | 37 | 15 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
TDR
0 - 1
MAR
18%
20%
62%
|
23 | 38 | 15 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
CDT
2 - 1
TDR
74%
16%
11%
|
24 | 34 | 10 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
TDR
1 - 1
UBC
34%
24%
43%
|
23 | 32 | 9 | +1 |