CD Tarancon vs CD Marchamalo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.9%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.5%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.9%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
20.6%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-29%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
3
5º
16º
7º
4
3º
13º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
4 | 68 |
1º
|
32% | |
|
2º
|
4 | 64 |
2º
|
18% | |
|
9º
|
3 | 61 |
3º
|
8% | |
|
7º
|
4 | 60 |
4º
|
12% | |
|
6º
|
4 | 59 |
5º
|
10.5% | |
|
3º
|
4 | 56 |
6º
|
9.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
3 | 55 |
7º
|
6% | |
|
13º
|
1 | 50 |
8º
|
10.5% | |
|
4º
|
4 | 50 |
9º
|
9% | |
|
14º
|
1 | 44 |
10º
|
11% | |
|
12º
|
1 | 44 |
11º
|
10.5% | |
|
18º
|
0 | 43 |
12º
|
9.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
4 | 41 |
13º
|
12% | |
|
10º
|
2 | 39 |
14º
|
12% | |
|
16º
|
1 | 35 |
15º
|
12.5% | |
|
11º
|
2 | 30 |
16º
|
14.5% | |
|
15º
|
1 | 25 |
17º
|
24.5% | |
|
17º
|
0 | 24 |
18º
|
38.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
5% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
32% | 7% |
|
Mid-table
|
61% | 80.5% |
|
Relegation
|
2% | 12.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Tarancon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
CAZ
2 - 3
TAR
36%
24%
40%
|
35 | 29 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
TAR
0 - 1
QRE
39%
27%
34%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
VRU
1 - 1
TAR
42%
26%
32%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 Aug. 2024 |
TRJ
2 - 1
TAR
23%
25%
52%
|
36 | 29 | 7 | -1 |
| 10 May. 2024 |
TAR
2 - 2
CIU
40%
25%
36%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
CD Marchamalo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
MAR
1 - 1
CSP
23%
24%
53%
|
29 | 42 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
PED
0 - 1
MAR
30%
25%
46%
|
28 | 22 | 6 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
ALC
5 - 0
MAR
44%
26%
30%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2024 |
CDM
3 - 0
MAR
51%
25%
24%
|
29 | 34 | 5 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
QRE
1 - 0
MAR
63%
20%
17%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | -1 |