Tapajós vs Itupiranga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.5%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.9%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.8%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.7%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
33.7%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.2%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tapajós
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
REM
2 - 0
TAP
82%
12%
6%
|
29 | 66 | 37 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2023 |
AGU
4 - 1
TAP
66%
20%
15%
|
30 | 43 | 13 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
FRA
2 - 3
TAP
38%
23%
39%
|
29 | 27 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 Feb. 2023 |
TAP
0 - 2
PAY
7%
14%
80%
|
29 | 61 | 32 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
SEC
3 - 2
TAP
30%
22%
48%
|
31 | 24 | 7 | -2 |
Matches
Itupiranga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
SCI
2 - 1
CAS
16%
19%
66%
|
23 | 42 | 19 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
IND
1 - 1
SCI
62%
21%
18%
|
23 | 36 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
SCI
1 - 2
AGU
18%
20%
62%
|
24 | 41 | 17 | -1 |
| 15 Feb. 2023 |
CAM
1 - 0
SCI
60%
20%
19%
|
24 | 33 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2023 |
PAY
3 - 1
SCI
84%
12%
5%
|
24 | 61 | 37 | 0 |