Tapajós vs Paragominas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.8%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.6%
1-0
4%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.3%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.6%
62.6%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.8%
0-2
9%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
18.8%
0-3
6.6%
1-4
4%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
11.7%
0-4
3.6%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
5.8%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.4%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tapajós
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2020 |
REM
1 - 0
TAP
75%
16%
9%
|
25 | 56 | 31 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2019 |
CAS
1 - 1
TAP
65%
19%
16%
|
25 | 39 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2019 |
TAP
0 - 2
BPA
12%
18%
70%
|
26 | 46 | 20 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2019 |
TAP
1 - 1
FRA
39%
22%
39%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2019 |
TAP
0 - 0
REM
10%
17%
74%
|
26 | 53 | 27 | 0 |
Matches
Paragominas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2020 |
PAR
5 - 0
CEC
79%
13%
7%
|
41 | 7 | 34 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2019 |
REM
2 - 0
PAR
64%
20%
16%
|
41 | 53 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2019 |
PAR
1 - 0
FRA
65%
18%
16%
|
41 | 26 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2019 |
PAR
1 - 1
AGU
49%
24%
28%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2019 |
PAR
2 - 2
BPA
28%
23%
49%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | 0 |