Tapajós vs Castanhal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.2%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
4%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.6%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.7%
23%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
46.8%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
14.2%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.1%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tapajós
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2024 |
TAP
1 - 3
REM
7%
16%
77%
|
31 | 67 | 36 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
CAN
1 - 2
TAP
14%
18%
68%
|
31 | 9 | 22 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2024 |
CAM
2 - 0
TAP
49%
22%
29%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Jan. 2024 |
TAP
1 - 1
AGU
18%
22%
61%
|
31 | 45 | 14 | +1 |
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
BPA
0 - 0
TAP
49%
23%
28%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Castanhal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2024 |
CAS
2 - 3
SEC
59%
21%
21%
|
36 | 25 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
CAS
2 - 2
TUN
21%
21%
58%
|
36 | 46 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
SRE
1 - 0
CAS
13%
17%
69%
|
37 | 11 | 26 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 2024 |
CAS
0 - 1
REM
8%
18%
73%
|
38 | 68 | 30 | -1 |
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
CAM
2 - 2
CAS
42%
25%
34%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | 0 |