Tapachula FC vs Faraones Texcoco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.7%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
3%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.3%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.2%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.2%
31.1%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
9.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+123%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
1
9º
12º
12º
4
3º
11º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
3º
|
5 | 23 |
1º
|
36.5% | |
|
1º
|
6 | 23 |
2º
|
28.5% | |
|
6º
|
4 | 21 |
3º
|
13.5% | |
|
2º
|
6 | 20 |
4º
|
14% | |
|
9º
|
2 | 19 |
5º
|
18.5% | |
|
8º
|
4 | 18 |
6º
|
18.5% | |
|
10º
|
1 | 15 |
7º
|
18% | |
|
7º
|
4 | 15 |
8º
|
16.5% | |
|
4º
|
5 | 12 |
9º
|
25% | |
|
12º
|
0 | 10 |
10º
|
26.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
4 | 9 |
11º
|
30% | |
|
|
11º
|
1 | 6 |
12º
|
64.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 5.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 94.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points