Tanzania vs Uganda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.3%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.9%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.3%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
50.8%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
13.1%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.5%
0-3
5%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tanzania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jun. 2015 |
EGY
3 - 0
TAN
86%
11%
4%
|
55 | 86 | 31 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2015 |
RWA
2 - 0
TAN
43%
27%
31%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 May. 2015 |
LSO
2 - 0
TAN
21%
25%
54%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | -1 |
| 20 May. 2015 |
MAD
2 - 0
TAN
25%
25%
51%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | -1 |
| 18 May. 2015 |
TAN
0 - 1
SWZ
69%
19%
13%
|
59 | 45 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Uganda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jun. 2015 |
UGA
2 - 0
BOT
57%
25%
18%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2015 |
UGA
1 - 1
GAM
55%
24%
20%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2015 |
NGA
0 - 1
UGA
75%
17%
8%
|
67 | 85 | 18 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 2014 |
GUI
2 - 0
UGA
59%
23%
19%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2014 |
UGA
1 - 0
GHA
24%
27%
49%
|
66 | 83 | 17 | +1 |