Tanzania vs Rwanda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.6%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.8%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
21.3%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tanzania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2011 |
TAN
0 - 1
CHA
76%
16%
8%
|
63 | 45 | 18 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2011 |
CHA
1 - 2
TAN
19%
22%
60%
|
62 | 45 | 17 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
MAR
3 - 1
TAN
75%
17%
7%
|
62 | 87 | 25 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2011 |
TAN
1 - 1
ALG
30%
30%
41%
|
62 | 78 | 16 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2011 |
CTA
2 - 1
TAN
14%
21%
65%
|
62 | 9 | 53 | 0 |
Matches
Rwanda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2011 |
RWA
3 - 1
ERI
75%
17%
9%
|
55 | 32 | 23 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2011 |
ERI
1 - 1
RWA
15%
22%
63%
|
55 | 32 | 23 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
BEN
0 - 1
RWA
59%
22%
19%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2011 |
RWA
0 - 5
CIV
10%
21%
69%
|
54 | 87 | 33 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2011 |
BDI
3 - 1
RWA
29%
26%
45%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | -2 |